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Dartline™

December 14, 2006, 11:59am

... 11:59am ... Earnings going forward will surprise to the upside, especially with many companies buying back their own paper. How the S&P 500 acts in the coming weeks will establish the trend into '07.With the S&P 500 index closed at 1,413.21 1.65 the status of the general market continues to demonstrate an upside bias. (as stated at 8:30am today) ... 8:30am ... Yet, while stocks closed in plus territory, the market had difficult establishing a definitive direction after five months of gains. Pundits claim that a consolidation is due with profit taking evidence to reduce values by a maximum of 10%. Don't buy the underlying logic that earnings next year will be weak and inflation will force the Fed to raise rates. Consumer confidence is the key and should be demonstrated by higher levels of sending from the holiday season going into next year. With support set at 1,400, a yardstick is set with no failure unless violated on the downside. ... On Friday the index of Industrial Production will be issued at 9:15 ET by the Fed. This index is a fixed-weight measure of the physical output of the nation's factories, mines and utilities. Manufacturing production, the largest component of the total, can be accurately predicted using manufacturing hours worked from employment reports. Look for a moderate increase in production . However, the wildcard will be utility production because the weather in general has not been driven by unusual heating/cooling needs to accelerated production. Reviewed in its totality, the IP index will give the general stock market enough fuel to warrant further advances.

... Purpose of the arrows: - projecting that DJIA, Nasdaq and S&P barometers will close higher at the end of the day. - projected consolidating barometers with limited directional action. - projecting all three barometers declining for the day.

... BEAT THE DART announces modification to the STOCKSMIRF Fantasy Hedge Fund portfolio by changing the total available cash and margin to $5,000,000 from $50,000,000.00. Based on the trading dynamics of the Fund to date the gross values committed had not exceeded $3,000,000. Therefore, to carry excessive "buying power" distorted the percentage gains (losses) on the performance of the fund.

... BEAT THE DART announces new features: ... Our Message Board and "Contact Us" elements are available at no cost to keep you up-to-date with timely information. Our Fantasy Hedge Fund gives you a concise overview of how investment ideas are executed. All transactions are posted on the Message Board.

View From the Bottom - A roundup of the day's performance

December 14, 2006, 4:00pm. ... Day Trader gain for the day are $14,700,00. ... Adjustments to the 60-Day Summary, which does not include Day Trader's activities are: (1) sold TEK for a gain of $600.00; (2) sold STEM for a loss of $12,500.00; (3) sold MOV for a gain of $12,000.00; (4) sold LPSN for a loss of $12,500.00; (5) sold FVRL for a loss of $29,000.00 and (6) sold NUVO for a gain of $1000.00. Net realized changes for the day in Stocksmirf Fantasy Hedge Fund portfolio ("SFHF") is a loss of $25,700.00, and for the month to date a profit of $206,800.00. Decisions for all these "transactions" are reviewable from the Today's Action column, Message Board or the actual time sensitive commentaries notes: On the Message Board the time allocation is based on Mountain Time. If you need further analysis please go to the Message Board and click "The Dart Bin." No charge of any of our features or services offered. ... Indeed, our performance looks too good to be true, but when reviewed by dates and time stamps frozen on the Message Board at the moment of netcasting, you'll see each event has been properly recorded. For a further analysis, the actual individual trade prices (intra-day ticks) are available from other sources. As for the other picks that had sufficient lead-time, nothing more can be said. The mission of Beat the Dart is to remove all the hocus-pocus and make you rich. ... When reviewing past commentaries and the decision process use archive index on our home page and the Message Board to gain the understanding and mind set behind our philosophy.

... December 14, 2006, 9:15am ...

... 11:37am ... SELL CHRS ... last $14.32. Not usually consider as a short term sale under Best Idea. Yet, CHRS has failed to be accumulated in sufficient numbers, and looks weak. Take profit. [note: booked as Day Trader performance]

... 10:13am ... SHORT #3 ON POZN - last $16.77.

... BUY Charming Shoppers (CHRS) - last $14.05 (pre-market). Apparel stores with 2236 units in 48 states under Lane Bryant, Fashion Bug and Catherine Plus, CHRS is fairly priced for further gains. At 17 times current earnings and excellent balance sheet and within a technical trading zone, CHRS is positioned to increase in value. Midterm BUY with $21.00 EXIT POINT.

December 13, 2006,.... 2:15pm ... SHORT #2 ON POZN - last $15.86. ... 11:02am .... SHORT Pozen Incorporated (POZN) - last $15.22. With the need for further data by FDA for experimental migraine before marketing would require additional field studies. The delay may cost POZN ten-points.

Ticker	Last Trade	Direction	Entrance Point	Exit Point
POZN	December13, 2006		15.22	*

P/E Ratio:	*
Forward P/E Ratio:	*
Float Shares2:	*
Company Guidance:	*
Recommendation3:	*
Support4:	12.50
Resistance5:	17.10
Under Accumulation6:	no
Under Distribution7:	yes

... DAY TRADER

... December 14, 2006

... 1:02pm ... COVER SHORTS ON CIEN - last $27.20

.... 10:30am ... SHORT #2 ON CIEN - last $27.40

.. 9:41am ... SHORT Ciena Corporation (CIEN) - last $27.01. On contracting volume and weak support after run up on earnings. Support at $25.90

... From the 60-Day Summary list

... December 14, 2006

... 3:13pm ... SELL Tektronicx Inc. (TEK) - last $30.50. With earnings due after close, the action of the stock in a strong market suggests problems. Sell as a defensive move.

... 2:52pm ... SELL STEM - last $2.88. Take loss

... 2:33pm ... SELL Movado Group (MOV) - last $26.07. At resistance with limited upside. Take profit to visit later.

... 1:07pm ... SELL LPSN - last $4.40. Take loss.

... 12:09pm ... SELL FVRL - last $3.04. Take loss.

.... 11:12am ... SELL Nuvelo Inc. (NUVO) - last $4.16. NUVO appears under distribution and looks lower from here.

._____________________________________________________________________

NET VALUE OF Stocksmirf Fantasy Hedge Fund (SFHF) portfolio for the week ending 12.08.06 ....................,....... . $4,632,000.00

REALIZEDGAINS (LOSSES) FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER '06 in the SFHF portfolio ........................ ......... $277,601.00

REALIZED GAINS (LOSSES) FOR THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER '06 in the SFHF portfolio. ...............................$338,049.00

REALIZEDGAINS (LOSSES) FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER '06 TO DATE in the SFHF portfolio ................... $206,800.00

REALIZED GAINS (LOSSES) FOR THE CURRENT WEEK TO DATE in the SFHF portfolio. ....................$074,700.00

UNREALIZED GAINS (LOSSES) in the Stocksmirf Fantasy Hedge Fund portfolio.

December 14, 2006, 4:00pm ... 99,164.01

December 13, 2006, 4:00pm ..136,899.98

December 12, 2006, 4:00pm ....03,700.00

December 11, 2006, 4:00pm ....64,200.00

December 8, 2006, 4:00pm ..... 24,399.99

December 7, 2006, 4:00pm ..... 23,694.99

December 6, 2006, 4:00pm ..... 11,465.97

December 5, 2006, 4:00pm .....$82,400.01

December 4, 2006, 4:00pm .... $58,400.01

December 1, 2006, 4:00pm .... $12,004.99

November 30, 2006, 4:00pm ... $69,300.00

November 29, 2006, 4:00pm ... $36,700.08

November 28, 2006, 4:00pm ... $47,500.07

November 27, 2006, 4:00pm ... $32,994.17

November 24, 2006, 4:00pm ... $60,699.95

.......Note: Changes will be instantly broadcast on our Message Board. Log-in, it's free.

EFFECTIVE 10.30.06 DAY TRADER WILL BE LAUNCHED TO TARGET ONE STOCK TO PLAY DURING THE DAY AND CLOSED OUT BEFORE 4:00pm. The intent is to suggest ideas that have a likelihood, either to advance or decline, depending it you're going long or short. Naturally, day trading should only be considered by individuals with an in depth language of the securities market, and understands experience and timing dynamics are intransigent parts of the same formula. As Mark Twain said, "We should be careful to get out of an experience only the wisdom that is in it - and stop there; lest we be like the cat that sits down on a hot stove. The cat will never sit down on a hot stove again - and that is well; but also the cat will never sit down on a cold one any more."... Practice by using phantom trades until you have the experience to go live. This way you'll learn first hand if you posses that special "hook" to be a successful day trader.

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Remember: knowledge can be communicated; wisdom is your department.

BEAT THE DART is a classic term originally applied in 1898 when J.P. Morgan threw a dart at the stock table page of the New York Times. Whatever the dart hot, he purchased the stock and made a fortune. In time others used the procedure with startling results. The dart picks beat professional analysts 65% of the time!
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1 Based on market conditions and other factors previewed in Best Ideas, changes can happen at any time. Accordingly, continue to log-in on a regular basis to maintain maximum performance.
2 Float - Available stock position in the hands of the general public of the total outstanding.
3 Institutional recommendations during the last 30 days.
4 Under technical analysis the term 'support' refers to a point in the stock's price that is immediately maintained and usually suggests an entrance point to purchase.
5 Under technical analysis the term 'resistance' suggests that a point in the stock's price has been reached and further gains are temporarily unlikely.
6 Under Accumulation occurs when abnormal buying in a particular stock takes place, and suggests that inside information may be at play and anticipates future price appreciation.
7 Under Distribution suggests that insiders and others are stealth fully selling on the belief that lower stock prices will occur.
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